Archive for the ‘International Strategy’ Category

Two GM Developments

Thursday, February 25th, 2010

For those of you following GM developments, it appears that the sale of Saab to Spyker has now closed (see Spyker Closes Purchase of Saab).

Spyker Cars of the Netherlands closed a deal to buy Saab from General Motors for cash and shares worth $400m, saving the Swedish car brand from closure and ending a sale that has dragged on for more than a year.

Saab said on Tuesday it had exited liquidation proceedings, and that control of the brand had been returned to Jan Ake Jonsson, its chief executive. The carmaker had been in administration since February 2009, when GM said it planned to sell or wind it down as it prepared to file for bankruptcy protection in the U.S.

The deal…will save 3,400 jobs at Saab’s operations in Sweden and more at its 1,100 dealers. Saab and Spyker will now operate as sister companies under the umbrella of Euronext-listed Spyker Cars NV.

In other GM news, the agreed upon deal to sell Hummer to Sichuan Tengzhong Heavy Industrial Machines of China has fallen through (see GM to Close Hummer After Sale Fails).

General Motors said on Wednesday that it would shut down Hummer, the brand of big sport utility vehicles that became synonymous with the term gas guzzler, after a deal to sell it to a Chinese manufacturer fell apart.

The buyer, Sichuan Tengzhong Heavy Industrial Machines, said in a statement that it had withdrawn its bid because it was unable to receive approval from the Chinese government…

Tight financial markets also hurt the deal. When the commerce ministry did not bless the transaction, the well-capitalized Chinese banks became reluctant to lend money…

Interesting. Although Saab is certainly the more promising of the two GM castoffs, if you would have told me as little as six months ago that the Saab deal would close and the Hummer deal would collapse, I would probably have laughed it off as the low probability outcome.

GM was having real difficulty finding a buyer for Saab. The process was fraught with several starts and stops, included various “interested” buyers (e.g., Koenigsegg, Spyker), had the on-again/off-again support of the Swedish government, and survived the collapse of several negotiated agreements.

By contrast, the deal with Sichuan Tengzhong seemed swift and sound. I did not foresee cause for concern, even with the regulatory delay. And given the Chinese appetite for Western assets (see Chinese Acquisitions in the Auto Industry) and the government’s easy money policies (especially in housing, see Is China a Bubble Economy?), the deal looked like a pretty sure bet.

I can’t help but wonder then about the broader implication of “well-capitalized Chinese banks” becoming “reluctant to lend money”…

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We Should Fear China’s Alternative Energy Producers?? Hogwash!

Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010

The New York Times ran a feature article on Sunday about China’s dominance of the alternative/clean energy space (see China Leading the Race to Make Clean Energy). Although the author points to some interesting stylized facts, not one suggests cause for concern.

China vaulted past competitors in Denmark, Germany, Spain and the United States last year to become the world’s largest maker of wind turbines, and is poised to expand even further this year.

MY COMMENT: So what? Does this make them the technological leaders in that space? No! Why? Because most of the technological advances in alternative energy (the knowledge creation portion of the value chain) are a product of the West – Europe and the U.S., …and to a lesser extent Japan and Korea.

China has also leapfrogged the West in the last two years to emerge as the world’s largest manufacturer of solar panels.

MY COMMENT: Again, why is this a bad thing? See above.

President Obama, in his State of the Union speech last week, sounded an alarm that the United States was falling behind other countries, especially China, on energy. “I do not accept a future where the jobs and industries of tomorrow take root beyond our borders — and I know you don’t either,” he told Congress.

These efforts to dominate renewable energy technologies raise the prospect that the West may someday trade its dependence on oil from the Mideast for a reliance on solar panels, wind turbines and other gear manufactured in China.

MY COMMENT: Nonsense. To the extent that China is reliant on the knowledge/technology developed in the West to manufacture equipment, it’s good for both sides. Western alternative energy firms have a market in which to sell their valuable knowledge and Chinese producers have a market to sell the output from the factories that use those productive knowledge inputs. This is how international trade works. In fact, without demand from the Chinese market, development costs for firms in the West would be much, much higher. This allows our alternative energy firms not only to prosper, but to create jobs in the nascent sector.

So although the title of the Times article is appropriate – China certainly is “making” more clean energy in the manufacturing sense, the West is specializing in the higher value-added, higher margin, higher growth activities (see Globalization Discontents and Globalization Revisited). I don’t know about you, but I’ll take the latter.

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The Folly of the Publicly-Backed Private Company

Tuesday, December 15th, 2009

In the aftermath of Dubai World’s near default, The Economist magazine ran an interesting article that examines the so-called “Hybrid” organization (see The Rise of the Hybrid Company). According to the Economist:

The travails of Dubai Inc have left commentators struggling for the right phrase to describe Dubai World and its various siblings. They have come up with various formulations—state-controlled, state-supported, quasi-state, parastatal—without ever quite capturing what they are talking about. And Dubai is not the only place that is challenging the business vocabulary in this way.

Wherever you look you can see the proliferation of hybrid organisations that blur the line between the public and private sector. These are neither old-fashioned nationalised companies, designed to manage chunks of the economy, nor classic private-sector firms that sink or swim according to their own strength. Instead they are confusing entities that seem to flit between one world and another to suit their own purposes.

MY COMMENT: For examples from the U.S., see Fannie and Freddie, pre-nationalization. France, in the form of their national champions, also engages in the practice. So do many emerging economies: China (and their SOE’s), Russia, Malaysia, Vietnam, Brazil, etc.

What should we make of these hybrid organisations? Their supporters have long argued that they enjoy the best of both worlds: the security of the public sector and the derring-do of the private sector. They can use their global reach to provide their home countries with the pick of the world’s resources. They can borrow money at a favourable rate thanks to “implicit” government guarantees. They can use their political muscle to outperform their less well-connected rivals.

MY COMMENT: I have never been a fan of Publicly-Backed Private Companies (PBPC’s). Although they may be able to borrow at lower rates because they are “implicitly” backed by their home governments, they often grow too large, become too bureaucratic, and eventually crater under their own inefficiency (thereby costing home-country taxpayers dearly in the process). In addition, their objective function is not always clear. Are they meant to profit-maximize for shareholders/bondholders, or are they meant to serve a larger social purpose?

The most interesting part of the Dubai World saga (in contrast with Freddie and Fannie) is that the government of Dubai has seemingly repudiated Dubai World’s debt. So much for that “implicit” guarantee. If this becomes the norm rather than the exception, you can soon say goodbye to the last remaining benefit of Public-Private hybrid companies – the ability to borrow at favorable rates.

I have nothing, in principle, against government-backed companies. Although they are generally inefficient and often do not make sense, there are instances in which they might be appropriate — e.g., in instances of severe market failure. However, if there is severe market failure such that the government must become involved to prevent perverse societal outcomes, my intuition is that private companies operating in a system of more stringent governmental oversight and regulation perform better than a system comprised of public-private hybrids.

In this sense then, I agree with the conclusion of the Economist:

The clearer the line between the state and the private sector, the better it is for those on both sides.

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Is the World Really Flat??

Monday, November 23rd, 2009

I have enjoyed reading Thomas Friedman’s work over the years, but I have to say that I am not a big believer in the Flat World hypothesis. Although intellectually appealing in many ways, it is not supported by scientific evidence. Decades of international business research has demonstrated that companies that span national boundaries face enormous risks and challenges. Moreover, a casual glance at the popular press on just about any given day provides countless examples of companies whose international expansion efforts have foundered because they failed to account for the additional costs imposed by institutional distance (for background, see my posts So You Want to Do Business in  a Developing Country, Tata and Jaguar, Tesco’s Venture into the U.S.).

In fact, just this week I received an email from Mike Malone of ABC News calling my attention to a recent article addressing the Flat World debate (see Navigating a Flat and Bumpy World). Mike writes:

Despite the title of a best-selling book of a few years back, it turns out that the world isn’t flat. And, despite all of the leveling forces being unleashed by the Internet, global business and social networks, it won’t be getting any flatter in our lifetimes.

But don’t believe the growing legions of naysayers to Tom Friedman’s book either, because nearly all of them begin by accepting his underlying premise … and then set out to debunk it by showing how pockets of entrenched cultural differences won’t succumb to Twitter and the iPhone.

As many recent stories have shown, if your business follows Friedman’s advice you are very likely to get blindsided by markets with rules that are alien — even antithetical — to our own.

Although Mike writes mostly about how technology impacts globalization and tries to find common ground between those who adhere to a Flat World view and those who subscribe to a Spiky World view, I thought his opening salvo (quoted above) was spot on.

Another good example of how the world is not so flat can be found in Qantas’s latest trouble in Vietnam (see Jetstar Creates a Jet Stir in Vietnam, ht Steve). According to Crikey:

The $US50 million ($A53.9 million) Qantas investment in Jetstar Pacific has flown into an ideological chasm in the ranks of the Communist Party and government in Vietnam and it isn’t clear how it can escape.

…ideologues in the [Vietnamese Communist] party are waging a glorious struggle against the oppression of the people and their cultural identity from the subversive forces of global capitalism, or words to that effect.

And if that weren’t enough evidence, last week BA and Iberia formally announced that they will merge (see Uniting in the Sky). What strikes me as interesting is not the deal itself, as I actually think that this deal makes a fair bit of operational sense. The potential for synergies are enormous. However, what struck me as odd is that BA and Iberia will be maintaining separate corporate offices and operations (one in Spain and one in the UK):

…while the pair will combine their businesses they will maintain separate corporate operations. This will allow both to maintain their roles as the national flag-carriers while keeping valuable bilateral international landing rights that go along with that status.

That may be; however, maintaining separate operations will also keep their costs elevated and reduce their competitiveness in a market that is often characterized as global. If companies can’t find a way to benefit from economies of scale in a global, homogeneous goods market like the airline industry (or even the automobile industry), …how flat is the world, really??

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The Ubiquity (or lack thereof) of Globalization

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

The Economist posted a nice chart this week of the number of mentions of the word “Globalization” in their magazine since 1979 (see Going Global).

It seems that the number of mentions grew briskly through the dawning of the new millennium, with a drop off after the dotcom bust. The number of mentions picked up once again from 2005-2007, but has tailed off since the start of the financial crisis.

Globalisation

In order to see if these numbers were consistent with mentions of the term “Globalization” at large, I checked the number of mentions in Google Trends.

Globalization 02

Although the Google Trends data go back only to 2004, somewhat interestingly, it seems that Globalization as a search term has been decreasing steadily from 2004-2009.

I wonder if the differences across charts speak to the differences in interests between the readership of a specialized economics magazine and the general populous, …or if The Economist is missing the boat, dedicating more time and attention to topics that readers are increasingly uninterested in?

Personally, I think Globalization is not only an interesting phenomenon in its own right, but given the global nature of the financial crisis, an especially timely topic for debate. It should not be a surprise where I stand on that debate. I have long been a proponent of Globalization (see Globalization and its Discontents, Globalization Revisited, or Interview in the Effective Executive).

Oops, I may have just answered my own question.

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Chinese Acquisitions in the Auto Industry

Thursday, October 29th, 2009

Ford revealed today that Geely, the Chinese automobile manufacturer, has emerged as the most likely suitor for its Volvo unit (see Geely Behind Ford’s Plan to Sell Volvo). According to Motor Trend, the price tag will be somewhere in the $2 Billion range.

Holding aside the sale price, if this deal goes through it would become the third high-profile purchase of a Western automobile manufacturer by a Chinese firm this year (Geely’s purchase of Volvo, Beijing Automotive’s participation in the Saab deal, and Sichuan Tengzhong’s acquisition of Hummer from GM).

Chinese firms are acquiring Western automobile manufacturers in an attempt to upgrade capabilities. They lag far behind the leading Japanese, US, European, and Korean auto manufacturers in technological capabilities, and the acquisition of Western firms represents an attempt to close that gap in R&D, design, styling, sales, marketing, and production.

However, as I noted in a recent interview in the Effective Executive magazine, this acquisitive behavior is not unique to the automobile industry. Chinese companies have increasingly been acquiring Western companies in a variety of industries (e.g., Lenovo’s acquisition of IBM’s PC division and TCL’s acquisition of Thomson’s TV division), all in an effort to close a still significant capabilities gap with developed country firms.

As I mentioned in that interview (see Interview in the Effective Executive):

When I think about China, Japan, and South Korea, certainly some similarities can be drawn. All three followed an export-led growth path to prosperity. However, once a certain level of prosperity had been achieved through trade, the three countries diverged with respect to international investment. South Korean firms have generally followed a more organic growth strategy – eschewing acquisitions of foreign targets in favor of building businesses from scratch. Japanese firms followed a similar strategy up to a point…Insofar as China is concerned, although we are in the early stages of China’s international expansion, it seems so far that Chinese firms are following a more growth-through-acquisition type of strategy…

My sense is that this has a lot to do with the capabilities of the firms from these countries. That is, by the time Japanese and South Korean firms began to expand, they did so from a position of technological strength. For this reason, they were able to organically extend existing advantages to other countries. China, by contrast, is expanding from a relatively weak technological position not only vis-à-vis Japan and South Korea, but also vis-à-vis the rest of the developed world. In this sense then, Chinese firms are embarking on a strategy of acquisition in order to acquire the technological capabilities their firms currently lack.

Seen through that lens, it is obvious why Chinese automobile manufacturers are interested in acquiring Volvo, Saab, and Hummer. However, the fact remains that they are purchasing extremely troubled operations in an industry plagued with overcapacity (even in China) at a time when when the demand for automobiles (certainly in the developed world) looks increasingly uncertain (see Auto Industry’s Big Little Problem).

As a proponent of free trade and globalization, I view the acquisition of Western companies by Chinese companies as a welcome development. However, given the auto industry’s ills, I wonder whether these Chinese acquirers will be able to derive value from their tired, beaten, and battered Western subsidiaries, …irrespective of the price.

Time will tell.

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The Horn of Plenty

Friday, October 16th, 2009

Below are some links and teasers to articles that I found interesting:

Selling Foreign Goods in China (The Economist)

Every year, says Paul French, head of Access Asia, a research firm based in Shanghai, the same company buys the same report from him on the market for a particular product in China. That is because each year the company in question sends a new executive to China with instructions to break into the local market, who soon departs in despair—having failed to find an opening given the (brief) time and (insufficient) resources allotted.

The promise—and frequent disappointment—of doing business in China has been a common theme since at least the 19th century, when weavers in Manchester were said to dream of adding a few inches to every shirttail in China.

It is incredibly difficult to do business in developing markets (see So You Want to Do Business in a Developing Country), and China is no exception. The interesting thing to me about entry into developed markets is how managers systematically overestimate the benefits and underestimate the costs. And sadly, I am not aware of any evidence that suggests that we are becoming better at making these entry decisions over time.

———————————————–

Shazam, Maker of Phone App, Draws Investment (New York Times)

Cellphone applications can turn your phone into a mobile dictionary, help you find your way when you are lost on a hiking trail and identify mystery songs on the radio. But can they make significant money?

That question has been hounding the entrepreneurs and venture capitalists behind the start-up companies that create the software programs.

An interesting ditty about how making apps may actually be a commercially viable business. Be sure to look for their IPOs in an equity market near you…

———————————————–

Schumpeter Centenary (The Economist)

The centenary of Joseph Schumpeter’s birth has not brought forth an avalanche of academic tributes and retrospectives. There is no Schumpeter industry to compare with the one on Keynes. No pop biographies. No “Schumpeter and the Post-Schumpeterians”. Yet his academic reputation at the height of his powers was of the same order, and the impact of his analysis continues to be strongly felt.

An interesting look at the history of an influential economist. He certainly left his mark on the fields of innovation and entrepreneurship.

———————————————–

Wall Street Smarts (New York Times, ht Neysa)

“IF you really want to know why the financial system nearly collapsed in the fall of 2008, I can tell you in one simple sentence.”

The statement came from a man sitting three or four stools away from me in a sparsely populated Midtown bar, where I was waiting for a friend.

“O.K.,” I said. “Let’s hear it.”

“The financial system nearly collapsed,” he said, “because smart guys had started working on Wall Street.”

Hysterical anecdote (with more than a grain of truth) about the near-collapse of the financial system (see Krugman’s post on same)

Happy weekend everyone!!

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Interview in The Effective Executive

Tuesday, October 6th, 2009

The folks at the Effective Executive magazine asked to interview me last month for an upcoming issue of the magazine. I was asked to share my thoughts about the global economy, the financial crisis, and the growth of developing countries.

Below are excerpts from that interview.

[Y]our current research centers on the management and economics of international expansion. However, with the US financial crisis hitting the world economy hard, even the developed countries seem to be contemplating on going very slow on globalization. And in fact, there is a wide rhetoric about developed world (including most of the G-15 countries) embracing protectionist attitudes. Do you think such a move would indeed undo all the progress that has been made in the last decade?

The benefits of globalization are many. Not only does globalization allow countries to specialize in the productive activities in which they have an advantage, but it also provides an important conduit for the exchange of ideas across countries. As my research points out, the exchange of ideas across countries is critical to innovation and growth.

Therefore, I think it would not only be a mistake for countries to enact protectionist policies, but in the extreme, such policies could threaten the currently fragile economic recovery. Economies have become so intertwined that restricting the cross-border flow of goods and services (and capital) could lead to severe disruptions for developed and developing countries alike. For students of history, a refresher on the impact of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act (and protectionist policies adopted by other world economies) during the Great Depression might serve as a guide for the potential deleterious consequences of protectionism.

That said however, I think we are a far stretch from undoing all the progress brought about by globalization over the past decade. I would like to believe that most interested parties (politicians, lawyers, managers, etc.) recognize how important globalization is to economic growth and prosperity. But certainly, the emerging level of protectionist rhetoric bears some monitoring.

What are the best practices that you have, over your distinguished research and teaching career, noticed regarding market entry strategies and international expansion strategies? Any interesting observations that you have noticed either from American companies, European Companies or Asian companies?

One of the things that I have noticed both in my research, and in my interactions with managers, is that managers often exaggerate the benefits and underestimate the difficulty of foreign expansion. Managers are quite good at identifying the demand-side benefits (the ability to tap into additional demand in the foreign market) and supply-side benefits (decreasing input and labor costs) associated with expansion, but systematically underestimate the additional costs imposed by operating businesses across differing institutional environments. Cultural, political, and economic environments vary greatly across countries. These differences manifest as real costs to firms, as research demonstrates that foreign entrants take a longer to set up operations in foreign countries, are forced to pay higher wages than local domestic competitors, run afoul of the law more frequently, and are generally less likely to succeed than similar domestic businesses.

All of this makes it critical for companies to have a sound understanding of how the cultural, political, and economic differences that they face across countries are likely to affect their business. Firms should first see if their business (and business model) is appropriate to the environment, understanding that it might be better, in some cases, not to enter a country. However, once they’ve decided which countries are appropriate targets for entry, they should choose an entry mode appropriate to the environment.

In my experience, I have found that those firms that perform best in this respect pay special attention to the cultural, political, and economic risk factors present in the host country.

Did you find any interesting insights from Chinese companies’ market entry strategies and their international expansion strategies as opposed to let’s say either South Korean or Japanese companies? Do you think Chinese companies are taking the same route as South Korean or Japanese companies followed several years ago or are they chalking out their unique strategies?

This is an interesting question. When I think about China, Japan, and South Korea, certainly some similarities can be drawn. All three followed an export-led growth path to prosperity. However, once a certain level of prosperity had been achieved through trade, the three countries diverged with respect to international investment. South Korean firms have generally followed a more organic growth strategy – eschewing acquisitions of foreign targets in favor of building businesses from scratch. Japanese firms followed a similar strategy up to a point. While many of Japan’s industrial firms preferred organic growth, Japanese firms acquired a vast portfolio of real estate holdings in the late 1980’s and early 1990’s. Insofar as China is concerned, although we are in the early stages of China’s international expansion, it seems so far that Chinese firms are following a more growth-through-acquisition type of strategy, acquiring foreign firms in both basic materials and high-tech industries.

My sense is that this has a lot to do with the capabilities of the firms from these countries. That is, by the time Japanese and South Korean firms began to expand, they did so from a position of technological strength. For this reason, they were able to organically extend existing advantages to other countries. China, by contrast, is expanding from a relatively weak technological position not only vis-à-vis Japan and South Korea, but also vis-à-vis the rest of the developed world. In this sense then, Chinese firms are embarking on a strategy of acquisition in order to acquire the technological capabilities their firms currently lack.

There was more to the interview. The soft copy is currently in newsstands (mostly in India). I am assuming they will post the interview on-line in a few months time. I will update when a link to the on-line version becomes available.

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So You Want to Do Business In a Developing Country?

Tuesday, September 15th, 2009

There are many compelling reasons that companies look to developing countries for growth. Less-developed countries hold the promise of large, fast-growing consumer markets (e.g., the BRICs); an abundance of cheap labor; and access to otherwise unavailable natural resources. Managers are often lured by this unbridled potential.

But there is a reason these countries are considered “developing” – largely because of the under-developed state of their institutional environments (see also Summer Reading: The Birth of Plenty).

Although developing markets hold jaw-dropping potential, it often remains just that. Realizing potential from developing markets is incredibly challenging. Companies often find that the institutional (cultural, political, and economic) environments in the developing markets they enter are not only underdeveloped in an absolute sense, but also in a relative sense. That is, the cultural, political, and economic environments in developing markets are so vastly different from anything that they encounter in their own domestic market (or even in other developed markets) that the costs involved in navigating them exceed even their most conservative estimates.

For this reason, companies from developed countries (and developing countries) often struggle when they enter developing countries. Their investments often fail to achieve desired returns; and worse, they can get mired in red ink.

Take IKEA, for instance. It entered Russia in 2000. Its operations are still struggling, largely due to the nature of Russia’s institutional environment, in which corruption and graft are commonplace. According to the New York Times (see IKEA Tries to Build a Case Against Russian Corruption):

Weeks before the opening of its flagship store outside Moscow in 2000, Ikea was approached by employees of a local utility company. If the Swedish retailer wanted to have electricity for its grand opening, it had to pay a bribe.

Instead, Ikea rented diesel generators large enough to power a shopping mall. The generators roared to life in a loud rebuke to the corrupt executives who thought they had the retailer cornered, and soon the utility turned on the power.

As Ikea opened stores across Russia, and became one of the most outspoken Western corporate critics of Russian corruption, renting generators to thwart extortion from power companies became standard practice. Ikea executives took great pride in their creative solution — renting generators “instead of putting ourselves into a squeeze,” as Christer Thordson, an Ikea board member and global director of legal affairs, put it in an interview.

But Russian graft may have proved more stubborn than Ikea.

The board of Ikea’s operating company, which is based in the Netherlands, has concluded that the Russian executive hired to manage the generators was taking kickbacks from the rental company to substantially inflate the price of the service. Ikea said that such a fraud could cost it about $196 million over two years.

MY COMMENT: IKEA was clever to find an alternative to its energy problem. Unfortunately, it discovered that graft is endemic to Russia’s culture.

Ikea canceled the contract and sought redress in Russian civil court. But in rulings over the last two weeks, Ikea has lost another 5 million euros in damages that the judges awarded the generator rental company for breach of contract.

“We have encountered something here that is outside the scope of what we normally encounter,” Mr. Thordson said, describing the global retailer’s situation in Russia. “I have never experienced anything like this.”

The ballooning costs built into these two deals were so large they eliminated all profit from Ikea’s business managing a dozen shopping centers in Russia in 2008, Mr. Thordson said.

Ikea lawyers, in a letter to the board of Ikea’s operating company, said the opposing lawyers seemed to know the outcome of these cases in advance, suggesting collusion with the judges…“I can only suspect there have been some irregularities behind the scenes,” Mr. Thordson said.

MY COMMENT: Not only did IKEA discover that corruption and graft are endemic to the culture, but that redress through the court system is dubious for foreigners. Even when the judicial system is not corrupted and there are laws on the books to protect the interests of foreign investors, laws on the books do not equate to laws enforced. There is still a large home-team bias.

IKEA learned these lessons the hard way. Unfortunately, problems such as these are all too common for foreign companies operating in developed countries.

Entry into developing countries is not for the faint at heart…

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More on this topic (What's this?)
Favorite emerging markets
Emerging Markets… A Contrarian Take
THE FOUR REASONS EMERGING MARKETS WILL OUTPERFORM IN 2010
Read more on Emerging Markets, Investing in Russia at Wikinvest

Worth a Read…

Friday, August 14th, 2009

On my way out of town for a much needed break. Here are a few things that caught my attention:

  1. American Graduates Finding Jobs in China
  2. Hints of a Rebound in Global Trade
  3. Interest Fizzles in Cash for Clunkers
  4. Volkswagen and Porsche Close In on Deal to Combine
  5. The Pay at the Top (Compensation for 200 Chief Executives)
  6. Life without Landlines
  7. An Early Stab at Quantitative Easing
  8. US Homeowners Cut Asking Prices
  9. GM and Chrysler in Different Paths to Recovery
  10. Asia’s Astonishing Rebound?
  11. A Debate over Cause and Effect (kind of geeky, but how can I not include an article that mentions instrumental variables)

Happy Weekend!

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